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AI for science – talk recordings now available to watch

AIHub

On the 31st March, our editorial team headed to the Royal Society for AI for Science . This day-long conference explored how AI is changing the nature of scientific discovery, and was hosted by the Alan Turing Institute. The recordings from the event are now available on YouTube and are well worth a watch. You can read Ella Scallan's blog post about the day here . Lucy Smith is Senior Managing Editor for AIhub.


AAAI presidential panel – factuality and trustworthiness

AIHub

The Future of AI Research report, published in March 2025, aims to clearly identify the trajectory of AI research in a structured way. The report was led by outgoing AAAI President Francesca Rossi and covers 17 different AI topics . Members of the report team, and other selected AI practitioners, are taking part in a series of video panel discussions covering selected chapters from the report. In the sixth discussion in the collection, the three panellists tackle factuality and trustworthiness. Understanding factuality: why preventing false outputs from large language models remains AI's toughest problem Lucy Smith is Senior Managing Editor for AIhub.


Streaming Federated Learning with Markovian Data

Neural Information Processing Systems

Federated learning (FL) is now recognized as a key framework for communicationefficient collaborative learning. Most theoretical and empirical studies, however, rely on the assumption that clients have access to pre-collected data sets, with limited investigation into scenarios where clients continuously collect data. In many real-world applications, particularly when data is generated by physical or biological processes, client data streams are often modeled by non-stationary Markov processes.


Agnostic Continuous-Time Online Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

We study agnostic online learning from continuous-time data streams, a setting that naturally arises in applications such as environmental monitoring, personalized recommendation, and high-frequency trading. Unlike classical discrete-time models, learners in this setting must interact with a continually evolving data stream while making queries and updating models only at sparse, strategically selected times. We develop a general theoretical framework for learning from both *oblivious* and *adaptive* data streams, which may be noisy and non-stationary. For oblivious streams, we present a black-box reduction to classical online learning that yields a regret bound of $T \cdot R(S)/S$ for any class with discrete-time regret $R(S)$, where $T$ is the time horizon and $S$ is the *query budget*. For adaptive streams, which can evolve in response to learner actions, we design a dynamic query strategy in conjunction with a novel importance weighting scheme that enables unbiased loss estimation. In particular, for hypothesis class $\mathcal{H}$ with a finite Littlestone dimension, we establish a tight regret bound of $\tilde{\Theta}(T \cdot \sqrt{\mathsf{Ldim}(\mathcal{H})/S})$ that holds in both settings. Our results provide the first *quantitative* characterization of agnostic learning in continuous-time online environments with limited interaction.


Streaming Federated Learning with Markovian Data

Neural Information Processing Systems

Federated learning (FL) is now recognized as a key framework for communication-efficient collaborative learning. Most theoretical and empirical studies, however, rely on the assumption that clients have access to pre-collected data sets, with limited investigation into scenarios where clients continuously collect data. In many real-world applications, particularly when data is generated by physical or biological processes, client data streams are often modeled by non-stationary Markov processes.


A Framework for Evaluating and Benchmarking Concept Drift Detection Methods

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Data stream mining is fundamentally challenged by concept drift, where distributional changes can degrade model performance. Despite the proliferation of drift detection methods, progress in the field is hindered by inconsistent evaluation practices: studies rely on oversimplified synthetic data generators, adopt incompatible metrics, and lack transparency in hyperparameter selection, making fair comparisons difficult. We address this gap with a novel benchmarking framework comprising three contributions: (1) a drift simulation method that injects controlled distributional changes into real-world datasets via Monte Carlo trials, enabling supervised evaluation while preserving real-world data complexity; (2) an evaluation protocol for drift detection with timing-aware criteria, including the derivation of new metrics (e.g., F1 detection score, normalized detection time) that are comparable across streams; and (3) we advocate for a leave-one-dataset-out hyperparameter optimization protocol for drift detection methods that promotes configuration robustness across heterogeneous stream dynamics. We benchmark 14 widely used drift detection methods on 7 realworld datasets across 4 drift types (class prior, label swap, feature permutation, feature filtering), each under both abrupt and gradual transitions. Our experimental results provide insights into the strengths and weaknesses of current drift detection approaches while establishing baseline performance metrics for future research in this area. All code and experiments are publicly available.


Distribution-free root cause analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study distribution-free root cause analysis in multi-stream data, where an evolving underlying system is observed through multiple data streams that may each undergo distributional changes at unknown timepoints. In such settings, the stream exhibiting the earliest change provides a natural starting point for investigating the underlying cause, which we refer to as the root-cause index. Leveraging conformal $p$-values, we propose a novel framework, Conformal Root Cause Analysis (CROC), which constructs finite-sample valid confidence sets for the root-cause index under minimal assumptions: the data streams are independent, and within each stream the pre- and post-change observations are sampled exchangeably from arbitrary and unknown distributions. We further establish a universality property, showing that any distribution-free method for root cause localization can be represented within the CROC framework. In addition, under mild regularity conditions and principled score design, our method yields asymptotically sharp confidence sets that efficiently isolate the root cause. We further extend CROC to efficiently handle cross-stream dependence when present. Extensive simulations demonstrate accurate localization of the root stream, supporting our theoretical guarantees.




An Efficient Streaming Algorithm for the Submodular Cover Problem

Neural Information Processing Systems

We initiate the study of the classical Submodular Cover (SC) problem in the data streaming model which we refer to as the Streaming Submodular Cover (SSC). We show that any single pass streaming algorithm using sublinear memory in the size of the stream will fail to provide any non-trivial approximation guarantees for SSC. Hence, we consider a relaxed version of SSC, where we only seek to find a partial cover. We design the first Efficient bicriteria Submodular Cover Streaming (ESCStreaming) algorithm for this problem, and provide theoretical guarantees for its performance supported by numerical evidence. Our algorithm finds solutions that are competitive with the near-optimal offline greedy algorithm despite requiring only a single pass over the data stream. In our numerical experiments, we evaluate the performance of ESC-Streaming on active set selection and large-scale graph cover problems.